<p>We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density and are sequentially observed, with no recall of previous observations. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward. We first present a methodology for obtaining asymptotic expressions for the expectation and variance of the single optimal stopping time as the number of drawn variables becomes large. We then extend these results to the multiple stopping problem where the objective is now to maximize the expected reward, which is the sum of all variables stopped on. For a family of distributions with exponential tails and for the uniform distribution, we provide the complete generalisation of the multiple stopping problem by computing the inductive behaviour of the stopping time. Explicit calculations are provided for several common probability density functions as well as numerical simulations to support our asymptotic predictions.</p>
History
Table of Contents
1 Introduction -- 2 Background -- 3 Formulation -- 4 Computing νⁿ,¹ Behaviour -- 5 Calculating Optimal Stopping Statistics (Single Stopping) -- 6 Numerical Comparisons for Single Stopping -- 7 Computing νⁿ,ᵏ Behaviour -- 8 Calculating Multiple Optimal Stopping Expectation -- 9 Discussion and Further Research -- A Appendix -- List of Symbols -- References
Awarding Institution
Macquarie University
Degree Type
Thesis MRes
Degree
Thesis (MRes), Macquarie University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, 2021
Department, Centre or School
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Year of Award
2021
Principal Supervisor
Georgy Sofronov
Additional Supervisor 1
Christopher Lustri
Rights
Copyright: The Author
Copyright disclaimer: https://www.mq.edu.au/copyright-disclaimer